Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Blagoy Ivanov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Blagoy IvanovL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 19L
vs Augusto Sakai · May 20W
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 22L
vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricBlagoy Ivanov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24evenly matched on net striking-0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tai TuivasaBlagoy Ivanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.9|Blue +13.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tai TuivasaTargetBlagoy Ivanov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Blagoy Ivanov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:48
Knockdowns0
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Blagoy Ivanov edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:24
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Blagoy Ivanov edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:26
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
