Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Valentina Shevchenko has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valentina ShevchenkoW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Sep 21W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22W
vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25 Alexa Grasso
oldest →W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valentina ShevchenkoMetricAlexa Grasso
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Valentina ShevchenkoAlexa Grasso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Alexa Grasso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Valentina ShevchenkoTargetAlexa Grasso
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Valentina Shevchenko rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 2Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control3:02
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns2
Control2:22
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Valentina Shevchenko edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
