Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raquel Pennington
oldest →W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24 Holly Holm
oldest →W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raquel PenningtonMetricHolly Holm
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raquel PenningtonHolly Holm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Holly Holm(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.5|Blue +46.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raquel PenningtonTargetHolly Holm
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Raquel Pennington rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:14
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:01
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
