Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Murtazali Magomedov threatens submissions; Melsik Baghdasaryan has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Murtazali Magomedov has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Melsik Baghdasaryan has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melsik Baghdasaryan
oldest →W
KOvs Collin Anglin · Jul 21L
SUBvs Josh Culibao · Feb 23L
KOvs Jean Silva · Feb 25 Murtazali MagomedovNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melsik BaghdasaryanMetricMurtazali Magomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.90Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+3.71
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melsik Baghdasaryan(6 fights)Murtazali Magomedov(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -51.4|Blue +51.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Melsik BaghdasaryanTargetMurtazali Magomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Melsik Baghdasaryan rounds
1
Murtazali Magomedov rounds
Round 1Murtazali Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
