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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · S-DEC R5

Elo1480

Elo1530

Jack HermanssonvsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

S-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupJack Hermansson: Pressure fightervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Strickland at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Jack Hermansson

Red Corner

Sean Strickland

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1480

Elo

1530

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack HermanssonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22

KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22

vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25

KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25

latest

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack HermanssonMetricSean Strickland

5.15

Strikes / min

5.98

3.72

Strikes absorbed / min

4.53

56%

Strike defense

60%

1.48

TDs / 15 min

0.66

80%

Takedown defense

68%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.43evenly matched on net striking+1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack HermanssonSean Strickland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack HermanssonTargetSean Strickland

By target zone

11% acc · 16%

Head

125

44% acc · 82%

61% acc · 47%

Body

60% acc · 16%

94% acc · 37%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

134

38% acc · 98%

Distance

151

46% acc · 99%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Hermansson rounds

even

Sean Strickland rounds

Round 1Jack Hermansson edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:18

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:13

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

137 / 353

Sig Strikes

153 / 330

39.8%

Sig Str %

45.8%

137 / 353

Total Strikes

161 / 338

0 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Strickland	22 / 51	24 / 53	0 / 0
1	Jack Hermansson	26 / 47	26 / 47	0 / 2
2	Sean Strickland	32 / 77	32 / 77	0 / 0
2	Jack Hermansson	32 / 70	32 / 70	0 / 2
3	Sean Strickland	27 / 59	27 / 59	0 / 0
3	Jack Hermansson	26 / 75	26 / 75	0 / 1
4	Jack Hermansson	27 / 78	27 / 78	0 / 1
4	Sean Strickland	34 / 67	37 / 70	0 / 0
5	Sean Strickland	38 / 76	41 / 79	0 / 0
5	Jack Hermansson	26 / 83	26 / 83	0 / 2

Jack Hermansson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights19

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25