Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Royval
oldest →W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25W
SUBvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Jul 26 Rogerio Bontorin
oldest →W
vs Magomed Bibulatov · Feb 19W
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Aug 19L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Mar 21W
vs Matt Schnell · May 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon RoyvalMetricRogerio Bontorin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.29Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon RoyvalRogerio Bontorin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Royval(10 fights)Rogerio Bontorin(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +16.3|Blue -16.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon RoyvalTargetRogerio Bontorin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rogerio Bontorin edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 2Rogerio Bontorin edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:49Control
Round 3Brandon Royval edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:43
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:57Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
