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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Muhammad Saidov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1515

Elo1531

Dustin JacobyvsMuhammad SaidovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Muhammad Saidov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:49

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Dustin Jacoby

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Jacoby

Red Corner

Muhammad Saidov

Blue Corner

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Vegas Odds

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1515

Elo

1531

Age

N/A

Orthodox

Stance

N/A

6'3"

Height

N/A

193.04 cm

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dustin JacobyW3 streak

oldest →

vs Alonzo Menifield · Dec 23

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24

KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24

KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25

KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26

latest

Muhammad SaidovNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dustin JacobyMetricMuhammad Saidov

5.40

Strikes / min

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3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

—

57%

Strike defense

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0.32

TDs / 15 min

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62%

Takedown defense

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0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Muhammad Saidov(1 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dustin JacobyTargetMuhammad Saidov

By target zone

18% acc · 24%

Head

39% acc · 68%

27% acc · 9%

Body

56% acc · 15%

62% acc · 68%

Leg

83% acc · 17%

By position

37% acc · 100%

Distance

43% acc · 87%

Clinch

57% acc · 7%

Ground

80% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dustin Jacoby rounds

even

Muhammad Saidov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Muhammad Saidov edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 93

Sig Strikes

60 / 133

36%

Sig Str %

42.5%

34 / 93

Total Strikes

60 / 133

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Muhammad Saidov	16 / 50	16 / 50	0 / 0
1	Dustin Jacoby	17 / 44	17 / 44	0 / 0
2	Muhammad Saidov	44 / 83	44 / 83	0 / 0
2	Dustin Jacoby	17 / 49	17 / 49	0 / 0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

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Odds

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Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 58% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 24, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC · never rewritten

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Muhammad Saidov

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1