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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jimmie Rivera won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1493

Urijah FabervsJimmie RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Saturday, September 10, 2016Cleveland, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Jimmie Rivera won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsJimmie Rivera: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jimmie Rivera wins(57.3%)

Actual result: Jimmie Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimmie Rivera at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimmie Rivera has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Urijah Faber

Red Corner

Jimmie Rivera

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1492

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Frankie Saenz · Dec 15

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16

KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Jimmie Rivera

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Sep 18

vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19

vs Petr Yan · Jun 19

vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20

vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Urijah FaberMetricJimmie Rivera

2.65

Strikes / min

4.03

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.90

64%

Strike defense

60%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

0.88

58%

Takedown defense

92%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Urijah FaberJimmie Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Urijah Faber(10 fights)Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Urijah FaberTargetJimmie Rivera

By target zone

12% acc · 50%

Head

19% acc · 39%

56% acc · 23%

Body

45% acc · 17%

67% acc · 27%

Leg

89% acc · 44%

By position

17% acc · 86%

Distance

32% acc · 93%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Urijah Faber rounds

even

Jimmie Rivera rounds

Round 1Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 112

Sig Strikes

54 / 160

19.3%

Sig Str %

33%

23 / 113

Total Strikes

55 / 162

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jimmie Rivera	12 / 46	12 / 47	0 / 0
1	Urijah Faber	9 / 40	10 / 41	0 / 2
2	Jimmie Rivera	23 / 60	24 / 61	0 / 0
2	Urijah Faber	8 / 33	8 / 33	0 / 1
3	Jimmie Rivera	19 / 54	19 / 54	0 / 0
3	Urijah Faber	5 / 39	5 / 39	0 / 1

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Jimmie Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11