Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Viktor Pesta has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Viktor PestaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ruslan Magomedov · May 14W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Jan 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Oct 15L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 17 Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Viktor PestaMetricMarcin Tybura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.96Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Viktor PestaMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Viktor Pesta(5 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.4|Blue +136.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +190.0|Blue -190.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Viktor PestaTargetMarcin Tybura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:29
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
