Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Stout enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cody McKenzie has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sam Stout has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody McKenzie (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam StoutL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15L
KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15 Cody McKenzie
oldest →L
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jan 11L
SUBvs Vagner Rocha · Sep 11W
SUBvs Marcus LeVesseur · May 12L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 12W
vs Leonard Garcia · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam StoutMetricCody McKenzie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam StoutCody McKenzie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Stout(10 fights)Cody McKenzie(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -135.1|Blue +135.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam StoutTargetCody McKenzie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody McKenzie edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:06
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:44Control
Round 2Sam Stout edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:01
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Sam Stout edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:38
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
