Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Moraga enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MoragaW3 streak
oldest →L
DECvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17 Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25W
vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26L
SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricDeiveson Figueiredo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John MoragaDeiveson Figueiredo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.4|Blue -8.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John MoragaTargetDeiveson Figueiredo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Deiveson Figueiredo rounds
Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:53Control
Round 2Deiveson Figueiredo edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:01Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
