Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacare SouzaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 18L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21 Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacare SouzaMetricYoel Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jacare SouzaYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacare Souza(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.8|Blue -18.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jacare SouzaTargetYoel Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:45Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:08
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Jacare Souza edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control2:25
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
