Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hakeem DawoduL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21W
vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22 Kyle BochniakL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Enrique Barzola · Aug 16L
vs Jeremy Kennedy · Jul 17W
vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Apr 18L
vs Sean Woodson · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hakeem DawoduMetricKyle Bochniak
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.08Δ 4.56 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hakeem DawoduKyle Bochniak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +96.1|Blue -96.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hakeem DawoduTargetKyle Bochniak
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 2Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 3Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns0
Control0:02
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
