Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Spencer Fisher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Spencer Fisher has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Curt Warburton has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Spencer Fisher (53.5%).
- Curt Warburton has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Spencer FisherL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 10L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 11L
KOvs Thiago Tavares · Aug 11 Curt Warburton
oldest →W
vs Maciej Jewtuszko · Feb 11L
SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Jun 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Spencer FisherMetricCurt Warburton
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.14Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Spencer FisherCurt Warburton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Spencer Fisher(5 fights)Curt Warburton(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.7|Blue +138.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.8|Blue +47.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Spencer FisherTargetCurt Warburton
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Curt Warburton edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:21Control
Round 2Spencer Fisher edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control1:10
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:19Control
Round 3Spencer Fisher edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:56
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
