Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Darren Till enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darren Till (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25 Darren TillL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephen ThompsonMetricDarren Till
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.05Δ 2.06 — meaningful gap-1.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stephen ThompsonDarren Till
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephen Thompson(10 fights)Darren Till(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.0|Blue -39.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stephen ThompsonTargetDarren Till
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Darren Till edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 5Darren Till edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
