Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Royval
oldest →L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25W
SUBvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Jul 26 Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25W
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon RoyvalMetricJoshua Van
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.29Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon RoyvalJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Royval(10 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -88.6|Blue +88.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +238.0|Blue -238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon RoyvalTargetJoshua Van
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joshua Van edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns0
Control0:00
52Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brandon Royval edged it
Sig. strikes87
Takedowns0
Control0:00
74Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes86
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
78Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
1Knockdowns
