Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonardo Santos has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Leonardo Santos has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Adriano Martins · Oct 16W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22 Roman BogatovNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo SantosMetricRoman Bogatov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.58evenly matched on net striking-1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Santos(10 fights)Roman Bogatov(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -59.3|Blue +59.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leonardo SantosTargetRoman Bogatov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Leonardo Santos edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:37
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Leonardo Santos edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:57
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:38Control
Round 3Roman Bogatov edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
