Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Sayles threatens submissions; Sheymon Moraes has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Matt Sayles has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Sheymon Moraes has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt SaylesL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Nelson · May 19L
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 19L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 21 Sheymon MoraesL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Nov 17L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 19L
KOvs Andre Fili · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SaylesMetricSheymon Moraes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.02Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt SaylesSheymon Moraes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Sayles(4 fights)Sheymon Moraes(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.5|Blue -39.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt SaylesTargetSheymon Moraes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sheymon Moraes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:40
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Sheymon Moraes edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:14
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Matt Sayles edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:14
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
