Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed Ankalaev
oldest →W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25W
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 26 Ion Cutelaba
oldest →W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed AnkalaevMetricIon Cutelaba
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.06evenly matched on net striking+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Magomed AnkalaevIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +40.4|Blue -40.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Magomed AnkalaevTargetIon Cutelaba
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Magomed Ankalaev edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns2
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
