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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Jiri Prochazka won · SUB R5
Elo1450
Elo1503

Glover TeixeiravsJiri ProchazkaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Saturday, June 11, 2022Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Jiri Prochazka won

SUB · Round 5 · 4:32

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsJiri Prochazka: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jiri Prochazka wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Jiri Prochazka wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jiri Prochazka at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jiri Prochazka has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira
Red Corner
VS
Jiri Prochazka
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1450
Elo
1503
46
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover Teixeira
oldest →
W
vs Nikita Krylov · Sep 19
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20
W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20
W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23
latest
Jiri Prochazka
oldest →
W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Apr 24
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 24
W
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Jan 25
W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 25
L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricJiri Prochazka
3.73
Strikes / min
5.61
4.43
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
51%
Strike defense
45%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
0.49
60%
Takedown defense
68%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1654 vs 1536Strikes3.7 vs 5.4Takedowns2.1 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.20Form1.1 vs 1.0
Glover TeixeiraJiri Prochazka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Jiri Prochazka(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -53.6|Blue +53.6
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetJiri Prochazka

By target zone

98
68% acc · 88%
Head
106
56% acc · 88%
12
80% acc · 11%
Body
12
92% acc · 10%
1
100% acc · 1%
Leg
2
100% acc · 2%

By position

45
52% acc · 41%
Distance
76
54% acc · 63%
6
86% acc · 5%
Clinch
8
73% acc · 7%
60
88% acc · 54%
Ground
36
69% acc · 30%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Glover Teixeira rounds
0
even
2
Jiri Prochazka rounds
Round 1Glover Teixeira edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns2
Control2:49
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 2Jiri Prochazka edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control1:35
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Jiri Prochazka edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:17
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 4Glover Teixeira edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control2:33
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 5Glover Teixeira edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:33
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:24Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
111 / 161
Sig Strikes
120 / 205
68%
Sig Str %
54.4%
159 / 212
Total Strikes
157 / 245
5 / 17
TDs
0 / 0
33%
TD %
1
Sub Att
1
2
Rev
4
9:47
Ctrl Time
4:29

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jiri Prochazka14 / 2520 / 310 / 00
1Glover Teixeira27 / 3648 / 582 / 30
2Jiri Prochazka36 / 6638 / 680 / 00
2Glover Teixeira27 / 4232 / 480 / 30
3Jiri Prochazka43 / 5955 / 720 / 00
3Glover Teixeira12 / 2215 / 261 / 60
4Glover Teixeira24 / 2929 / 341 / 21
4Jiri Prochazka21 / 3929 / 470 / 00
5Jiri Prochazka6 / 1615 / 270 / 01
5Glover Teixeira21 / 3235 / 461 / 30

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights23

Jiri Prochazka

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8