Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roy Nelson is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
- Frank Mir has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15 Roy Nelson
oldest →L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frank MirMetricRoy Nelson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.66evenly matched on net striking-2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frank MirRoy Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frank Mir(10 fights)Roy Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -134.2|Blue +134.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frank MirTargetRoy Nelson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Frank Mir edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:31Control
Round 2Frank Mir edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control2:44
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 3Frank Mir edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns3
Control3:39
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
