Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20 John Hathaway
oldest →W
vs Pascal Krauss · May 12W
vs John Maguire · Sep 12L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricJohn Hathaway
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+1.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego SanchezJohn Hathaway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)John Hathaway(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego SanchezTargetJohn Hathaway
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:55
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:44Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:10
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
