Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rogerio Bontorin has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rogerio Bontorin
oldest →W
vs Magomed Bibulatov · Feb 19W
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Aug 19L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Mar 21W
vs Matt Schnell · May 21L
vs Brandon Royval · Jan 22 Ray Borg
oldest →W
vs Jussier Formiga · Mar 17L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rogerio BontorinMetricRay Borg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rogerio BontorinRay Borg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rogerio Bontorin(6 fights)Ray Borg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rogerio BontorinTargetRay Borg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:32
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:17Control
Round 2Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:37Control
Round 3Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:12
17Sig. strikes
6Takedowns
4:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
