Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Journey Newson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Fernie Garcia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Journey Newson has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Journey NewsonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Feb 20L
KOvs Randy Costa · Sep 20L
vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22L
SUBvs Marcus McGhee · Apr 23 Fernie GarciaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Brady Hiestand · Nov 22L
vs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 23L
KOvs Hyder Amil · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Journey NewsonMetricFernie Garcia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.07Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-1.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Journey NewsonFernie Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Journey Newson(6 fights)Fernie Garcia(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.6|Blue +25.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Journey NewsonTargetFernie Garcia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:17
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Journey Newson edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Journey Newson edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:25
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
