Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Vallejos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kevin Vallejos has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kevin Vallejos (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 23L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25 Kevin VallejosW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Mar 25W
KOvs Giga Chikadze · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricKevin Vallejos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.85Δ 2.56 — meaningful gap+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh EmmettKevin Vallejos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Kevin Vallejos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -113.8|Blue +113.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh EmmettTargetKevin Vallejos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Vallejos edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
