Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Petr Yan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab DvalishviliW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 24W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25 latest Petr YanW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Sean O'Malley · Oct 22L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24W
vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricPetr Yan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62evenly matched on net striking+0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Petr Yan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.3|Blue -10.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Merab DvalishviliTargetPetr Yan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Merab Dvalishvili rounds
Round 1Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control1:33
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:06
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns2
Control1:07
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 4Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:15
38Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 5Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:11
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.