Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kazula Vargas has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brok Weaver has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brok WeaverL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · May 20L
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Sep 20 Kazula Vargas
oldest →L
vs Alex Da Silva · Aug 19L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Mar 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brok WeaverMetricKazula Vargas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+1.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brok WeaverKazula Vargas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brok Weaver(3 fights)Kazula Vargas(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -105.4|Blue +105.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brok WeaverTargetKazula Vargas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kazula Vargas edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:07Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
