← All fights/Event page

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Fatima Kline won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1568

Elo1491

Fatima KlinevsMelissa MartinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Saturday, July 12, 2025Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Fatima Kline won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:36

Style matchupFatima Kline: WrestlervsMelissa Martinez: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Fatima Kline wins(76.2%)

Actual result: Fatima Kline wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Fatima Kline at -1100 American odds

+$9 profit

$109 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Fatima Kline enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Fatima Kline is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Melissa Martinez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Melissa Martinez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Fatima Kline

Red Corner

Melissa Martinez

Blue Corner

-1100

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+600

(14%)

1568

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'2"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Fatima KlineW3 streak

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jul 24

KOvs Viktoriia Dudakova · Jan 25

vs Angela Hill · Nov 25

DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 26

latest

Melissa Martinez

oldest →

vs Elise Reed · Sep 22

vs Alice Ardelean · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Fatima KlineMetricMelissa Martinez

5.01

Strikes / min

3.78

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

5.21

57%

Strike defense

53%

2.02

TDs / 15 min

0.35

50%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.30Δ 3.73 — meaningful gap-1.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Fatima KlineMelissa Martinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Fatima Kline(5 fights)Melissa Martinez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +77.1|Blue -77.1

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Fatima KlineTargetMelissa Martinez

By target zone

43% acc · 62%

Head

26% acc · 52%

74% acc · 28%

Body

83% acc · 34%

64% acc · 10%

Leg

50% acc · 14%

By position

47% acc · 82%

Distance

37% acc · 100%

86% acc · 13%

Clinch

0% acc

71% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Fatima Kline rounds

even

Melissa Martinez rounds

Round 1Fatima Kline edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Fatima Kline edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:37

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Fatima Kline edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

92 / 181

Sig Strikes

44 / 119

50.7%

Sig Str %

36.7%

95 / 187

Total Strikes

52 / 129

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:40

Ctrl Time

0:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Melissa Martinez	17 / 38	17 / 38	0 / 0
1	Fatima Kline	32 / 64	32 / 65	0 / 0
2	Melissa Martinez	18 / 54	26 / 64	0 / 0
2	Fatima Kline	35 / 67	38 / 72	0 / 2
3	Melissa Martinez	9 / 27	9 / 27	0 / 0
3	Fatima Kline	25 / 50	25 / 50	0 / 0

Fatima Kline

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Melissa Martinez

StanceSouthpaw

Height62.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights3