Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keita Nakamura (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Keita Nakamura
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Noke · Jul 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Apr 18W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19 Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23W
KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24L
KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25L
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keita NakamuraMetricElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.97Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Keita NakamuraElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Keita Nakamura(8 fights)Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -88.0|Blue +88.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Keita NakamuraTargetElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds
Round 1Keita Nakamura edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control4:28
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:48
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control1:25
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:16Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
