Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Calvin Kattar has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25L
vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25 Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricJosh Emmett
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.14Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Calvin KattarJosh Emmett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Josh Emmett(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +12.4|Blue -12.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Calvin KattarTargetJosh Emmett
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Calvin Kattar edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Josh Emmett edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Josh Emmett edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Calvin Kattar edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 5Calvin Kattar edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
