Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Solecki threatens submissions; Alex Da Silva has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Alex Da Silva has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SoleckiL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 21W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jun 24L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25 Alex Da Silva
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 19W
vs Kazula Vargas · Aug 19L
vs Brad Riddell · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SoleckiMetricAlex Da Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe SoleckiAlex Da Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Solecki(9 fights)Alex Da Silva(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -371.0|Blue +371.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe SoleckiTargetAlex Da Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:32Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Joe Solecki edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control4:40
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alex Da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:23Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
