Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Chavez has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared GordonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25L
SUBvs Jim Miller · May 26 Danny Chavez
oldest →L
KOvs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared GordonMetricDanny Chavez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.46Δ 2.43 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jared GordonDanny Chavez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Gordon(10 fights)Danny Chavez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +55.0|Blue -55.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +31.0|Blue -31.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jared GordonTargetDanny Chavez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:06
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control3:32
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control2:29
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
