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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Dylan Andrews won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1355

Elo1490

Dylan AndrewsvsJimmy QuinlanUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dylan Andrews won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:22

Style matchupDylan Andrews: WrestlervsJimmy Quinlan: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Dylan Andrews wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Dylan Andrews wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dylan Andrews at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dylan Andrews enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dylan Andrews has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Dylan Andrews has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dylan Andrews (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Dylan Andrews

Red Corner

Jimmy Quinlan

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1355

Elo

1490

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dylan AndrewsL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Papy Abedi · Aug 13

KOvs Clint Hester · Dec 13

KOvs Sam Alvey · Nov 14

SUBvs Bradley Scott · May 15

latest

Jimmy QuinlanNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dylan AndrewsMetricJimmy Quinlan

2.21

Strikes / min

2.08

2.72

Strikes absorbed / min

5.94

46%

Strike defense

16%

2.83

TDs / 15 min

4.46

57%

Takedown defense

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51Δ 3.35 — meaningful gap-3.86

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dylan Andrews(5 fights)Jimmy Quinlan(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.5|Blue +135.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dylan AndrewsTargetJimmy Quinlan

By target zone

83% acc · 100%

Head

63% acc · 71%

Body

100% acc · 29%

Leg

By position

80% acc · 20%

Distance

70% acc · 100%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

80% acc · 60%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dylan Andrews rounds

even

Jimmy Quinlan rounds

Round 1Dylan Andrews edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:46Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 24

Sig Strikes

7 / 10

83%

Sig Str %

70%

33 / 40

Total Strikes

7 / 10

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

2:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimmy Quinlan	7 / 10	7 / 10	1 / 4	0
1	Dylan Andrews	20 / 24	33 / 40	0 / 0	0

Dylan Andrews

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5

Jimmy Quinlan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach—

Fights1