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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Clint Hester won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1355
Dylan Andrews
Elo1357

Dylan AndrewsvsClint HesterUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · Friday, December 6, 2013Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Clint Hester won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Style matchupDylan Andrews: WrestlervsClint Hester: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Clint Hester wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Clint Hester wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clint Hester at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Clint Hester enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Dylan Andrews is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Clint Hester has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Clint Hester is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dylan Andrews has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Clint Hester has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dylan Andrews (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Dylan Andrews
Red Corner
VS
Clint Hester
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1355
Elo
1357
46
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dylan AndrewsL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jimmy Quinlan · Apr 13
W
KOvs Papy Abedi · Aug 13
L
KOvs Sam Alvey · Nov 14
L
SUBvs Bradley Scott · May 15
latest
Clint HesterL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Andy Enz · Feb 14
W
vs Antonio Braga Neto · Jun 14
L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Nov 14
L
KOvs Vitor Miranda · Aug 15
L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dylan AndrewsMetricClint Hester
2.21
Strikes / min
3.36
2.72
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
46%
Strike defense
56%
2.83
TDs / 15 min
1.02
57%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1519Strikes20.0 vs 66.0Takedowns1.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Dylan AndrewsClint Hester

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Dylan Andrews(5 fights)Clint Hester(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -137.0|Blue +137.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dylan AndrewsTargetClint Hester

By target zone

6
30% acc · 46%
Head
19
39% acc · 70%
3
60% acc · 23%
Body
4
100% acc · 15%
4
67% acc · 31%
Leg
4
80% acc · 15%

By position

13
42% acc · 100%
Distance
18
38% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
4
80% acc · 15%
0
Ground
5
100% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dylan Andrews rounds
1
even
1
Clint Hester rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control2:28
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:12Control
Round 2Clint Hester edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
13 / 31
Sig Strikes
27 / 58
36%
Sig Str %
46%
18 / 36
Total Strikes
44 / 75
2 / 4
TDs
1 / 1
33%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:28
Ctrl Time
3:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Clint Hester11 / 2314 / 260 / 00
1Dylan Andrews2 / 97 / 142 / 30
2Clint Hester16 / 3530 / 491 / 10
2Dylan Andrews11 / 2211 / 220 / 10

Dylan Andrews

StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5

Clint Hester

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7