Welterweight

3 Rounds

Dwight Grant won · S-DEC

Elo1430

Elo1399

Dwight GrantvsStefan SekulicUFC Prediction Result

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Saturday, April 24, 2021Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Dwight Grant won

S-DEC

Style matchupDwight Grant: Well-roundedvsStefan Sekulic: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Stefan Sekulic wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Dwight Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stefan Sekulic at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dwight Grant enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Dwight Grant has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dwight Grant (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Dwight Grant

Red Corner

Stefan Sekulic

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1430

Elo

1399

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dwight GrantL4 streak

oldest →

vs Alan Jouban · Apr 19

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 20

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Oct 21

KOvs Sergey Khandozhko · Apr 22

vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Jul 22

latest

Stefan Sekulic

oldest →

vs Ramazan Emeev · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dwight GrantMetricStefan Sekulic

3.29

Strikes / min

1.83

2.66

Strikes absorbed / min

2.83

60%

Strike defense

64%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

2.00

66%

Takedown defense

25%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dwight GrantStefan Sekulic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dwight Grant(8 fights)Stefan Sekulic(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +30.2|Blue -30.2

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -707.0|Blue +707.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dwight GrantTargetStefan Sekulic

By target zone

22% acc · 57%

Head

45% acc · 42%

59% acc · 20%

Body

71% acc · 15%

85% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 42%

By position

30% acc · 92%

Distance

62% acc · 94%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dwight Grant rounds

even

Stefan Sekulic rounds

Round 1Dwight Grant edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 3Dwight Grant edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:25

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 156

Sig Strikes

33 / 52

31%

Sig Str %

62%

52 / 160

Total Strikes

39 / 59

1 / 1

TDs

3 / 7

100%

TD %

58.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:25

Ctrl Time

2:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Stefan Sekulic	7 / 13	12 / 19	1 / 1	0
1	Dwight Grant	14 / 49	16 / 51	0 / 0	0
2	Stefan Sekulic	12 / 20	13 / 21	1 / 4	0
2	Dwight Grant	18 / 58	18 / 58	0 / 0	0
3	Stefan Sekulic	14 / 19	14 / 19	1 / 2	1
3	Dwight Grant	17 / 49	18 / 51	1 / 1	0

Dwight Grant

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8

Stefan Sekulic

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2