Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sergey Khandozhko won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1430

Elo1496

Dwight GrantvsSergey KhandozhkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Saturday, April 23, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sergey Khandozhko won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:15

Style matchupDwight Grant: Well-roundedvsSergey Khandozhko: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Sergey Khandozhko wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Sergey Khandozhko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sergey Khandozhko at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Dwight Grant (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Dwight Grant

Red Corner

Sergey Khandozhko

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1430

Elo

1496

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dwight GrantL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alan Jouban · Apr 19

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 20

vs Stefan Sekulic · Apr 21

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Oct 21

vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Jul 22

latest

Sergey Khandozhko

oldest →

vs Rostem Akman · Jun 19

vs Rustam Khabilov · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dwight GrantMetricSergey Khandozhko

3.29

Strikes / min

3.41

2.66

Strikes absorbed / min

2.37

60%

Strike defense

60%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

0.76

66%

Takedown defense

61%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63evenly matched on net striking+1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dwight GrantSergey Khandozhko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dwight Grant(8 fights)Sergey Khandozhko(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -66.1|Blue +66.1

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -714.0|Blue +714.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dwight GrantTargetSergey Khandozhko

By target zone

34% acc · 83%

Head

32% acc · 71%

100% acc · 12%

Body

87% acc · 27%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

36% acc · 90%

Distance

39% acc · 96%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

67% acc · 5%

Ground

40% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dwight Grant rounds

even

Sergey Khandozhko rounds

Round 1Dwight Grant edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:12

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Sergey Khandozhko edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:08

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 110

Sig Strikes

49 / 125

37.5%

Sig Str %

38%

47 / 115

Total Strikes

49 / 125

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:20

Ctrl Time

0:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sergey Khandozhko	18 / 52	18 / 52	1 / 1
1	Dwight Grant	25 / 63	30 / 68	0 / 0
2	Sergey Khandozhko	31 / 73	31 / 73	0 / 0
2	Dwight Grant	17 / 47	17 / 47	1 / 1

Dwight Grant

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8

Sergey Khandozhko

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3