Welterweight

3 Rounds

Dwight Grant won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1430

Elo1371

Dwight GrantvsCarlo PedersoliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · Saturday, February 23, 2019Prague, Czech Republic

Official fight result

Dwight Grant won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:59

Model Prediction: Carlo Pedersoli wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Dwight Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Carlo Pedersoli at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Dwight Grant (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Dwight Grant

Red Corner

Carlo Pedersoli

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1430

Elo

1371

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dwight GrantL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 20

vs Stefan Sekulic · Apr 21

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Oct 21

KOvs Sergey Khandozhko · Apr 22

vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Jul 22

latest

Carlo Pedersoli

oldest →

DECvs Bradley Scott · May 18

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dwight GrantMetricCarlo Pedersoli

3.29

Strikes / min

—

2.66

Strikes absorbed / min

—

60%

Strike defense

—

0.61

TDs / 15 min

—

66%

Takedown defense

—

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dwight GrantCarlo Pedersoli

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dwight Grant(8 fights)Carlo Pedersoli(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +58.8|Blue -58.8

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -2.2|Blue +2.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Dwight Grant

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8

Carlo Pedersoli

No profile data.