Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Stoltzfus
oldest →L
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Sep 22W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25 Nursulton RuziboevW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 23W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 24L
vs Joaquin Buckley · May 24W
KOvs Eric McConico · Feb 25W
SUBvs Andrey Pulyaev · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin StoltzfusMetricNursulton Ruziboev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin StoltzfusNursulton Ruziboev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)Nursulton Ruziboev(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -58.3|Blue +58.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin StoltzfusTargetNursulton Ruziboev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Nursulton Ruziboev rounds
Round 1Nursulton Ruziboev edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:14
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 2Nursulton Ruziboev edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:13
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 3Dustin Stoltzfus edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:44
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
