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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dustin Poirier won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1494

Elo1354

Dustin PoiriervsAkira CorassaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Dustin Poirier won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:42

Style matchupDustin Poirier: Submission grapplervsAkira Corassani: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Dustin Poirier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dustin Poirier at -1050 American odds

+$10 profit

$110 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Akira Corassani has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Akira Corassani has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Dustin Poirier has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Poirier

Red Corner

Akira Corassani

Blue Corner

-1050

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+850

(11%)

1494

Elo

1354

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dustin PoirierL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24

SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24

vs Max Holloway · Jul 25

latest

Akira CorassaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Ogle · Sep 12

vs Robert Peralta · Apr 13

vs Maximo Blanco · Nov 13

KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 14

KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dustin PoirierMetricAkira Corassani

5.24

Strikes / min

3.25

4.57

Strikes absorbed / min

4.91

52%

Strike defense

50%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

0.70

64%

Takedown defense

86%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.67Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap-1.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dustin PoirierAkira Corassani

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Akira Corassani(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.6|Blue -139.6

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dustin PoirierTargetAkira Corassani

By target zone

47% acc · 82%

Head

33% acc · 79%

89% acc · 18%

Body

56% acc · 21%

0% acc

Leg

By position

42% acc · 69%

Distance

34% acc · 88%

86% acc · 27%

Clinch

60% acc · 13%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dustin Poirier rounds

even

Akira Corassani rounds

Round 1Dustin Poirier edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:42

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 2Dustin Poirier edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 89

Sig Strikes

24 / 66

60%

Sig Str %

42.5%

46 / 90

Total Strikes

24 / 66

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

0:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Akira Corassani	21 / 60	21 / 60	0 / 1	0
1	Dustin Poirier	31 / 71	32 / 72	0 / 1	1
2	Akira Corassani	3 / 6	3 / 6	0 / 0	0
2	Dustin Poirier	14 / 18	14 / 18	0 / 0	0

Dustin Poirier

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights31

Akira Corassani

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6