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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Khalil Rountree Jr. won · S-DEC R3

Elo1515

Elo1502

Dustin JacobyvsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Saturday, October 29, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDustin Jacoby: Pressure fightervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Dustin Jacoby wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dustin Jacoby at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dustin Jacoby is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Jacoby

Red Corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1515

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dustin Jacoby

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24

KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24

KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25

KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26

KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26

latest

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dustin JacobyMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.

5.40

Strikes / min

3.88

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

57%

Strike defense

49%

0.32

TDs / 15 min

0.00

62%

Takedown defense

58%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dustin JacobyKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.6|Blue -12.6

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dustin JacobyTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

36% acc · 57%

Head

25% acc · 58%

79% acc · 23%

Body

78% acc · 21%

89% acc · 20%

Leg

86% acc · 21%

By position

116

46% acc · 97%

Distance

35% acc · 94%

80% acc · 3%

Clinch

83% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dustin Jacoby rounds

even

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

Round 1Dustin Jacoby edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Dustin Jacoby edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:05

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dustin Jacoby edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

120 / 255

Sig Strikes

85 / 237

47.7%

Sig Str %

35.3%

122 / 257

Total Strikes

88 / 241

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	20 / 57	22 / 60	0 / 0
1	Dustin Jacoby	34 / 66	35 / 67	0 / 1
2	Khalil Rountree Jr.	35 / 88	36 / 89	0 / 0
2	Dustin Jacoby	39 / 105	40 / 106	0 / 0
3	Khalil Rountree Jr.	30 / 92	30 / 92	0 / 0
3	Dustin Jacoby	47 / 84	47 / 84	0 / 2

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17