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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Dustin Jacoby won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1515

Elo1504

Dustin JacobyvsKennedy NzechukwuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Saturday, August 5, 2023Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Dustin Jacoby won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:22

Style matchupDustin Jacoby: Pressure fightervsKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Dustin Jacoby wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kennedy Nzechukwu has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Jacoby

Red Corner

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Blue Corner

+142

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1515

Elo

1504

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'5"

193.04 cm

Reach

210.82 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dustin Jacoby

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24

KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24

KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25

KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26

KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26

latest

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dustin JacobyMetricKennedy Nzechukwu

5.40

Strikes / min

4.96

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

4.58

57%

Strike defense

51%

0.32

TDs / 15 min

0.50

62%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dustin JacobyKennedy Nzechukwu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +11.0|Blue -11.0

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dustin JacobyTargetKennedy Nzechukwu

By target zone

18% acc · 50%

Head

21% acc · 75%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

38% acc · 100%

Distance

22% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dustin Jacoby rounds

even

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

Round 1Dustin Jacoby edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 33

Sig Strikes

4 / 18

30%

Sig Str %

22%

10 / 33

Total Strikes

4 / 18

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	4 / 18	4 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Dustin Jacoby	10 / 33	10 / 33	0 / 0	0

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15