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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Jacoby won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1515
Dustin Jacoby
Elo1481
Da Woon Jung

Dustin JacobyvsDa Woon JungUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 16, 2022Elmont, New York, USA

Official fight result

Dustin Jacoby won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:13

Style matchupDustin Jacoby: Pressure fightervsDa Woon Jung: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Da Woon Jung wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Dustin Jacoby wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Da Woon Jung at -125 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Da Woon Jung enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Jacoby
Red Corner
VS
Da Woon Jung
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1515
Elo
1481
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dustin Jacoby
oldest →
L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24
W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24
W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25
W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26
L
KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26
latest
Da Woon JungL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Nov 21
L
vs Devin Clark · Feb 23
L
SUBvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 23
L
vs Oumar Sy · Sep 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dustin JacobyMetricDa Woon Jung
5.40
Strikes / min
3.24
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
1.59
62%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1545 vs 1518Strikes5.5 vs 3.5Takedowns0.4 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form1.0 vs 1.0
Dustin JacobyDa Woon Jung

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701490151015301550← oldermost recent →
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Da Woon Jung(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +33.7|Blue -33.7
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dustin JacobyTargetDa Woon Jung

By target zone

6
43% acc · 43%
Head
6
23% acc · 43%
1
50% acc · 7%
Body
1
25% acc · 7%
7
100% acc · 50%
Leg
7
78% acc · 50%

By position

14
61% acc · 100%
Distance
14
36% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Dustin Jacoby rounds
0
even
0
Da Woon Jung rounds
Round 1Dustin Jacoby edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
14 / 23
Sig Strikes
14 / 39
60%
Sig Str %
35%
14 / 23
Total Strikes
14 / 39
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Da Woon Jung14 / 3914 / 390 / 00
1Dustin Jacoby14 / 2314 / 230 / 00

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19

Da Woon Jung

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5