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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Clifford Starks won · U-DEC R3
Elo1515
Dustin Jacoby
Elo1352
Clifford Starks

Dustin JacobyvsClifford StarksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · Saturday, October 29, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Clifford Starks won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Clifford Starks wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Clifford Starks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clifford Starks at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dustin Jacoby is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Clifford Starks has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Jacoby
Red Corner
VS
Clifford Starks
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1515
Elo
1352
38
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dustin Jacoby
oldest →
L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24
W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24
W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25
W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26
L
KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26
latest
Clifford StarksL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Feb 12
L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Apr 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dustin JacobyMetricClifford Starks
5.40
Strikes / min
1.94
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
2.49
57%
Strike defense
58%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
1.94
62%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap-0.55
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Clifford Starks(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +163.0|Blue -163.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dustin JacobyTargetClifford Starks

By target zone

14
21% acc · 78%
Head
23
30% acc · 88%
4
100% acc · 22%
Body
3
50% acc · 12%
0
0% acc
Leg
0

By position

17
24% acc · 94%
Distance
19
29% acc · 73%
1
100% acc · 6%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
7
44% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dustin Jacoby rounds
0
even
3
Clifford Starks rounds
Round 1Clifford Starks edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Clifford Starks edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:01Control
Round 3Clifford Starks edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
18 / 72
Sig Strikes
26 / 82
22%
Sig Str %
34%
35 / 89
Total Strikes
81 / 147
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 3
—
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
5:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Clifford Starks9 / 4114 / 461 / 10
1Dustin Jacoby6 / 297 / 300 / 00
2Clifford Starks10 / 2231 / 481 / 10
2Dustin Jacoby11 / 2720 / 360 / 00
3Clifford Starks7 / 1936 / 531 / 10
3Dustin Jacoby1 / 168 / 230 / 00

Dustin Jacoby

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19

Clifford Starks

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3