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Middleweight
3 Rounds
2 days away
Elo1494
Dusko Todorovic editorial illustration
Elo1461
Robert Valentin editorial illustration

Dusko TodorovicvsRobert ValentinUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Robert Valentin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Robert Valentin has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Dusko Todorovic has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Dusko Todorovic
Red Corner
VS
Robert Valentin
Blue Corner
+139
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-168
(63%)
1494
Elo
1461
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dusko Todorovic
oldest →
W
KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22
L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23
L
KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24
L
vs Zach Reese · May 25
W
SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25
latest
Robert ValentinL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Ryan Loder · Aug 24
L
vs Torrez Finney · Apr 25
L
KOvs Ateba Gautier · Jul 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dusko TodorovicMetricRobert Valentin
4.73
Strikes / min
1.30
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.72
48%
Strike defense
33%
1.77
TDs / 15 min
0.59
42%
Takedown defense
55%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.42
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)Robert Valentin(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +33.8|Blue -33.8
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -15.3|Blue +15.3
Layoff
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO89%

Historical win share: Dusko Todorovic earned 75% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission11%

Historical win share: Dusko Todorovic earned 25% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10

Robert Valentin

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3