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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1514

Elo1484

Drew DobervsRicky GlennUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Saturday, October 7, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Drew Dober won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:36

Style matchupDrew Dober: Pressure fightervsRicky Glenn: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Drew Dober is a KO finisher (73% of wins). Ricky Glenn has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Drew Dober

Red Corner

Ricky Glenn

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1514

Elo

1484

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Drew DoberW2 streak

oldest →

vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24

KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24

KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25

KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25

KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26

latest

Ricky GlennL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 21

KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 23

vs Song Kenan · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Drew DoberMetricRicky Glenn

4.48

Strikes / min

3.79

4.33

Strikes absorbed / min

4.30

53%

Strike defense

51%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

0.72

58%

Takedown defense

69%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.15evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Drew DoberRicky Glenn

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Drew Dober(10 fights)Ricky Glenn(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +29.4|Blue -29.4

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Drew DoberTargetRicky Glenn

By target zone

48% acc · 63%

Head

13% acc · 40%

78% acc · 23%

Body

43% acc · 60%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

53% acc · 67%

Distance

23% acc · 100%

67% acc · 7%

Clinch

67% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Drew Dober rounds

even

Ricky Glenn rounds

Round 1Drew Dober edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:31

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 53

Sig Strikes

5 / 22

56%

Sig Str %

22%

30 / 53

Total Strikes

5 / 22

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ricky Glenn	5 / 22	5 / 22	0 / 1	0
1	Drew Dober	30 / 53	30 / 53	0 / 0	0

Drew Dober

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Ricky Glenn

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4