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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Drew Dober won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1514

Elo1445

Drew DobervsBobby GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Saturday, December 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Drew Dober won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:45

Model Prediction: Drew Dober wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Drew Dober wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Drew Dober at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Drew Dober (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Drew Dober

Red Corner

Bobby Green

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1514

Elo

1445

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Drew DoberW2 streak

oldest →

vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24

KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24

KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25

KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25

KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26

latest

Bobby Green

oldest →

vs Thiago Moises · Oct 20

vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21

KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22

KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Drew DoberMetricBobby Green

4.48

Strikes / min

—

4.33

Strikes absorbed / min

—

53%

Strike defense

—

0.61

TDs / 15 min

—

58%

Takedown defense

—

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Drew DoberBobby Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Drew Dober(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +68.4|Blue -68.4

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Drew Dober

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9