Lightweight

3 Rounds

Drakkar Klose won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1513

Elo1422

Drakkar KlosevsBrandon JenkinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · Saturday, April 16, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Drakkar Klose won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:33

Model Prediction: Drakkar Klose wins(72.7%)

Actual result: Drakkar Klose wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Drakkar Klose at -590 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Drakkar Klose has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Drakkar Klose has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Jenkins (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Drakkar Klose

Red Corner

Brandon Jenkins

Blue Corner

-590

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+425

(19%)

1513

Elo

1422

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Drakkar Klose

oldest →

vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 22

KOvs Joe Solecki · Dec 23

vs Joaquim Silva · May 24

KOvs Joel Alvarez · Dec 24

vs Edson Barboza · Aug 25

latest

Brandon Jenkins

oldest →

KOvs Rong Zhu · Sep 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Drakkar KloseMetricBrandon Jenkins

4.25

Strikes / min

2.93

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

8.05

49%

Strike defense

33%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

0.00

69%

Takedown defense

27%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60Δ 5.72 — meaningful gap-5.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Drakkar KloseBrandon Jenkins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Drakkar Klose(10 fights)Brandon Jenkins(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +91.4|Blue -91.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +560.0|Blue -560.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Drakkar KloseTargetBrandon Jenkins

By target zone

63% acc · 72%

Head

17% acc · 22%

100% acc · 21%

Body

75% acc · 17%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 61%

By position

64% acc · 36%

Distance

41% acc · 78%

83% acc · 50%

Clinch

100% acc · 22%

55% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Drakkar Klose rounds

even

Brandon Jenkins rounds

Round 1Drakkar Klose edged it

Sig. strikes66

Takedowns2

Control1:55

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Drakkar Klose edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

76 / 108

Sig Strikes

18 / 38

68%

Sig Str %

43.5%

77 / 109

Total Strikes

28 / 48

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

66%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:56

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Brandon Jenkins	15 / 30	25 / 40	0 / 0
1	Drakkar Klose	66 / 93	67 / 94	2 / 3
2	Brandon Jenkins	3 / 8	3 / 8	0 / 0
2	Drakkar Klose	10 / 15	10 / 15	0 / 0

Drakkar Klose

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12

Brandon Jenkins

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2