Featherweight

3 Rounds

Zubaira Tukhugov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1496

Douglas Silva de AndradevsZubaira TukhugovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · Saturday, February 15, 2014Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil

Official fight result

Zubaira Tukhugov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsZubaira Tukhugov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Zubaira Tukhugov wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Zubaira Tukhugov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zubaira Tukhugov at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zubaira Tukhugov has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Red Corner

Zubaira Tukhugov

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1484

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Zubaira Tukhugov

oldest →

vs Renato Moicano · May 16

KOvs Kevin Aguilar · Feb 20

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Sep 20

vs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 21

vs Elves Brener · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricZubaira Tukhugov

3.54

Strikes / min

3.17

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

56%

Strike defense

63%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

2.13

71%

Takedown defense

100%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.10

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Zubaira Tukhugov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.2|Blue +12.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetZubaira Tukhugov

By target zone

19% acc · 48%

Head

32% acc · 71%

33% acc · 15%

Body

56% acc · 26%

67% acc · 37%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

27% acc · 89%

Distance

40% acc · 83%

38% acc · 11%

Clinch

31% acc · 11%

Ground

22% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

even

Zubaira Tukhugov rounds

Round 1Zubaira Tukhugov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 3Zubaira Tukhugov edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 97

Sig Strikes

35 / 95

32.7%

Sig Str %

35.7%

27 / 97

Total Strikes

41 / 102

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 6

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Zubaira Tukhugov	9 / 26	12 / 30	2 / 2
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	9 / 18	9 / 18	0 / 0
2	Zubaira Tukhugov	9 / 27	10 / 28	0 / 2
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	10 / 31	10 / 31	0 / 0
3	Zubaira Tukhugov	17 / 42	19 / 44	1 / 2
3	Douglas Silva de Andrade	8 / 48	8 / 48	0 / 0

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Zubaira Tukhugov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8