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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Douglas Silva de Andrade won · SUB R2

Elo1484

Elo1498

Douglas Silva de AndradevsSergey MorozovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Saturday, February 12, 2022Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Douglas Silva de Andrade won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:24

Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsSergey Morozov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Sergey Morozov wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sergey Morozov at -210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sergey Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Red Corner

Sergey Morozov

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1484

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gaetano Pirrello · Oct 21

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Sergey MorozovW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 21

vs Khalid Taha · Jul 21

vs Raulian Paiva · Jun 22

vs Journey Newson · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricSergey Morozov

3.54

Strikes / min

3.01

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.97

56%

Strike defense

61%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

3.63

71%

Takedown defense

68%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Douglas Silva de AndradeSergey Morozov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Sergey Morozov(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.4|Blue +14.4

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetSergey Morozov

By target zone

40% acc · 43%

Head

43% acc · 75%

86% acc · 32%

Body

86% acc · 19%

90% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

55% acc · 84%

Distance

46% acc · 78%

86% acc · 16%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

0% acc

Ground

60% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

even

Sergey Morozov rounds

Round 1Sergey Morozov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:09Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:55

Knockdowns3

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 64

Sig Strikes

32 / 65

57%

Sig Str %

46.5%

57 / 86

Total Strikes

62 / 99

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 5

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:55

Ctrl Time

2:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sergey Morozov	23 / 40	53 / 74	1 / 2	0
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	15 / 30	28 / 43	0 / 0	0
2	Sergey Morozov	9 / 25	9 / 25	0 / 3	0
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	22 / 34	29 / 43	0 / 1	2

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Sergey Morozov

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5