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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Miles Johns won · U-DEC R3
Elo1484
Elo1479
Miles Johns

Douglas Silva de AndradevsMiles JohnsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · Saturday, June 15, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Miles Johns won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsMiles Johns: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Miles Johns wins(69.8%)

Actual result: Miles Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miles Johns at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Douglas Silva de Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Miles Johns
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-180
(64%)
1484
Elo
1479
41
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Douglas Silva de Andrade
oldest →
W
KOvs Gaetano Pirrello · Oct 21
W
SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22
L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22
W
vs Cody Stamann · May 23
L
KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26
latest
Miles JohnsL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Vince Morales · Nov 22
W
vs Cody Gibson · Mar 24
L
vs Felipe Lima · Dec 24
L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25
L
SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricMiles Johns
3.54
Strikes / min
3.36
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.22
71%
Takedown defense
77%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1541Strikes3.5 vs 3.3Takedowns0.6 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs 0.8
Douglas Silva de AndradeMiles Johns

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Miles Johns(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +4.7|Blue -4.7
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +315.0|Blue -315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetMiles Johns

By target zone

21
26% acc · 58%
Head
37
45% acc · 74%
6
29% acc · 17%
Body
6
86% acc · 12%
9
50% acc · 25%
Leg
7
100% acc · 14%

By position

36
31% acc · 100%
Distance
50
52% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds
0
even
2
Miles Johns rounds
Round 1Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:07
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
36 / 119
Sig Strikes
50 / 96
31.7%
Sig Str %
50.3%
36 / 119
Total Strikes
52 / 98
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 3
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:07
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Miles Johns7 / 158 / 160 / 00
1Douglas Silva de Andrade12 / 2712 / 270 / 10
2Miles Johns25 / 4525 / 450 / 10
2Douglas Silva de Andrade10 / 4110 / 410 / 00
3Miles Johns18 / 3619 / 370 / 20
3Douglas Silva de Andrade14 / 5114 / 510 / 00

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Miles Johns

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11